The information on this site is not intended or implied to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Content within the patient forum is user-generated and has not been reviewed by medical professionals. Other sections of the Melanoma Research Foundation website include information that has been reviewed by medical professionals as appropriate. All medical decisions should be made in consultation with your doctor or other qualified medical professional.

Not too sure what to believe anymore

Forums General Melanoma Community Not too sure what to believe anymore

  • Post
    Lisa13
    Participant

    Just started Yervoy a week ago and I've been reading all these articles about it and quite frankly, the numbers of responders are no better then chemo. – 10%.  I'm starting to think I should have put myself through IL-2 tortue since the numbers of long term remission responders is 6% (which isn't far off from ipi).  This is so friggin' frustrating, especially when you've got all these BRAF drugs showing an 80% response rate or a 63% less chance of dying then chemo patients.  My Dr.

    Just started Yervoy a week ago and I've been reading all these articles about it and quite frankly, the numbers of responders are no better then chemo. – 10%.  I'm starting to think I should have put myself through IL-2 tortue since the numbers of long term remission responders is 6% (which isn't far off from ipi).  This is so friggin' frustrating, especially when you've got all these BRAF drugs showing an 80% response rate or a 63% less chance of dying then chemo patients.  My Dr. told me that his trial of ipi (which I'm apart of now) is showing up to 40% responses, so I don't know who to believe anymore.

    At the end of the day, it's either going to work or not work and I'm not going to care less about these stupid percentages which quite frankly, I don't think anyone has the numbers right. I'm so happy for all the lucky people who are BRAF positive, but I'm starting to think that the drug companies could care less about the rest of us.  I think I'm just having a bad day.

    Lisa – Stage 4

     

Viewing 9 reply threads
  • Replies
      JerryfromFauq
      Participant

      Dear Lady, you are correct about numbers.  When a general, across the board treatment is compared with a restricted Trial treatment the numbers are not directly comparable..  There are at least two more BRAF drugs under developement.  What DNA mutations they will work on (or even be tested against) is another question.  The one approved today was tested for a limited population, but compared with a general purpose, across the board treatment.  The other question is about how long the benefit lasts and for whom!  AS Tim saaid, the advance is nice, but is still a long ways from a cure.

      JerryfromFauq
      Participant

      Dear Lady, you are correct about numbers.  When a general, across the board treatment is compared with a restricted Trial treatment the numbers are not directly comparable..  There are at least two more BRAF drugs under developement.  What DNA mutations they will work on (or even be tested against) is another question.  The one approved today was tested for a limited population, but compared with a general purpose, across the board treatment.  The other question is about how long the benefit lasts and for whom!  AS Tim saaid, the advance is nice, but is still a long ways from a cure.

      lhaley
      Participant

      Lisa,

      Some people are partial responders. The stats you are quoting I believe are total responders for the ippi (10 or 15%)  You have to remember that you are not a statistic.

      While the stats look good for B-raf they are not long lasting. So while it sounds great, it's not a cure either. 

      The numbers are dismal but there are long term managers of their disease. As you survive longer there are more choices.

      Linda

      lhaley
      Participant

      Lisa,

      Some people are partial responders. The stats you are quoting I believe are total responders for the ippi (10 or 15%)  You have to remember that you are not a statistic.

      While the stats look good for B-raf they are not long lasting. So while it sounds great, it's not a cure either. 

      The numbers are dismal but there are long term managers of their disease. As you survive longer there are more choices.

      Linda

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Linda, do you have a handy source for the 10-15% total responders?   (And for the length of the response?)

        I also wonder what the long term total responders % and length of time) will be.  (Hard to tell  untill more time passes.  The trial that I heard the highest response rate, seemed to have had some restriction as to who they tested on.  We're getting closer, but what does what on just who is still too far from being known.  (I want to know NOW!)

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Linda, do you have a handy source for the 10-15% total responders?   (And for the length of the response?)

        I also wonder what the long term total responders % and length of time) will be.  (Hard to tell  untill more time passes.  The trial that I heard the highest response rate, seemed to have had some restriction as to who they tested on.  We're getting closer, but what does what on just who is still too far from being known.  (I want to know NOW!)

        lhaley
        Participant

        Jerry,

        I am going to quote from something I printed last night. The article was titled "Beyond Ipilimuab: New Approaches Target the Immunological Synapse" by Ken Garber.  

        jnci.oxfordjournals.org  Vol 103, issue 14, July 20, 2011.  I am of course taking this little paragraph out of an almost 4 pg. article.  "But ipilimuab's objective response rate is only 10%-15%, and the drug sometimes causes severe immune-related side effects."  They use the same stat later in the article when comparing it to PD-1 drug. 

        If you want the entire article I'll try and see if I can link. 

        Linda
         

        lhaley
        Participant

        Jerry,

        I am going to quote from something I printed last night. The article was titled "Beyond Ipilimuab: New Approaches Target the Immunological Synapse" by Ken Garber.  

        jnci.oxfordjournals.org  Vol 103, issue 14, July 20, 2011.  I am of course taking this little paragraph out of an almost 4 pg. article.  "But ipilimuab's objective response rate is only 10%-15%, and the drug sometimes causes severe immune-related side effects."  They use the same stat later in the article when comparing it to PD-1 drug. 

        If you want the entire article I'll try and see if I can link. 

        Linda
         

        Lisa13
        Participant

        I know if you're a complete responder with ipi – the durable response is upwards of 4 years (as per Dr. Wolchuks presentation on the Melanoma International website). This is great news IF you're a complete responder.

        One Phase 3 trial with Yervoy presented 675 patients. 70% of them had M1c disease and 29% of them were 65 years or older. This group had a response of 10.9%, so what about the people who had M1a or M1b disease who were younger, etc?  This is why I find these trials frustrating because the data is such a random number from many different people with different stages of this disease.  Because this drug is new, they just don't have the numbers yet to determine how successful it is.

        Lisa13
        Participant

        I know if you're a complete responder with ipi – the durable response is upwards of 4 years (as per Dr. Wolchuks presentation on the Melanoma International website). This is great news IF you're a complete responder.

        One Phase 3 trial with Yervoy presented 675 patients. 70% of them had M1c disease and 29% of them were 65 years or older. This group had a response of 10.9%, so what about the people who had M1a or M1b disease who were younger, etc?  This is why I find these trials frustrating because the data is such a random number from many different people with different stages of this disease.  Because this drug is new, they just don't have the numbers yet to determine how successful it is.

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        So true.  "Fun to be on the forefront?" 
        Should I comment on what a friend of mine said about the first two letters of the word "FUn"?

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        So true.  "Fun to be on the forefront?" 
        Should I comment on what a friend of mine said about the first two letters of the word "FUn"?

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        That was meant as a funny, not anything personal.  As Charlie says make the best decision you can as to what feels the best to you on the science you follow.  Don't second guess, we don't have time for that.  Do look ahead and make plans for the what if's. 

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        That was meant as a funny, not anything personal.  As Charlie says make the best decision you can as to what feels the best to you on the science you follow.  Don't second guess, we don't have time for that.  Do look ahead and make plans for the what if's. 

        NicOz
        Participant

        FUn…indeed!!! (Who'd not want to be a part of all the excitement?!?!??) 😛

        Jerry, your comment made me laugh, and made me think of a Monty Python skit:

        My response is not meant in an inflammatory way, in fact I'm laughing as I type some of this, but I really want some of this to be heard re: BRAFV600E.

        Monty Python skit with "You lucky, lucky %@$!@^*!" is in the forefront of my mind while I type this, in order to address a common misconception. (And Lisa, it's not aimed directly at you- I've heard it several times)

        Considering it means a "greatly elevated B-Raf kinase activity and constitutive activation of MAPK/ERK downstream…” (For example B-RafV600E exhibits elevated kinase activity that has been estimated to be 50–100-fold more potent than wild-type B-Raf", I’m not altogether sure that “lucky” is a word I’d use. In fact, it’s not a word I associate with melanoma at all)

        Maybe (just maybe) WITHOUT that mutation, I’d not have developed 50+ brain mets, and a mass on my adrenal, numerous sub-q’s throughout my body and 3 liver mets, in the space of 2 months which required me to start on a BRAF-i in the first place? (Which, might I add, I am coming off in 2 weeks due to progression, after a mere 3 months effectiveness? Did I forsee that? No- I’d hoped for 6-9 months. But I’m not looking back or questioning my choice of drug. For others it works longer, just not for me. C'est la vie.)

        After a while, most people work out that it’s just hopping from stepping stone to stepping stone, and hoping researchers stay a few steps ahead of us. Never look back! You do what you do because you use the best information you have available at the time. (Even with limited choices, we still choose whether to gamble or not to do anything)

        I’ve chosen Yervoy as my next gamble. (It was my first choice years ago, but I was ineligible for it, and every other trial that interested me, for various reasons) So several stepping stones later, I end up where I wanted to be originally. A few months here, and a few months there have added up to over 3 years (a veritable lifetime compared to some others) with my daughter… and still Yervoy has no guarantee of success. But I’ll finally be able to have a shot at it. Maybe it’ll work. Maybe it won’t. But it’s the best decision I can make for the moment, and I’m going with it- and I won’t look back. A seer, I’m not. A risk:benefit analyser I am.

        Nic 😀

        NicOz
        Participant

        FUn…indeed!!! (Who'd not want to be a part of all the excitement?!?!??) 😛

        Jerry, your comment made me laugh, and made me think of a Monty Python skit:

        My response is not meant in an inflammatory way, in fact I'm laughing as I type some of this, but I really want some of this to be heard re: BRAFV600E.

        Monty Python skit with "You lucky, lucky %@$!@^*!" is in the forefront of my mind while I type this, in order to address a common misconception. (And Lisa, it's not aimed directly at you- I've heard it several times)

        Considering it means a "greatly elevated B-Raf kinase activity and constitutive activation of MAPK/ERK downstream…” (For example B-RafV600E exhibits elevated kinase activity that has been estimated to be 50–100-fold more potent than wild-type B-Raf", I’m not altogether sure that “lucky” is a word I’d use. In fact, it’s not a word I associate with melanoma at all)

        Maybe (just maybe) WITHOUT that mutation, I’d not have developed 50+ brain mets, and a mass on my adrenal, numerous sub-q’s throughout my body and 3 liver mets, in the space of 2 months which required me to start on a BRAF-i in the first place? (Which, might I add, I am coming off in 2 weeks due to progression, after a mere 3 months effectiveness? Did I forsee that? No- I’d hoped for 6-9 months. But I’m not looking back or questioning my choice of drug. For others it works longer, just not for me. C'est la vie.)

        After a while, most people work out that it’s just hopping from stepping stone to stepping stone, and hoping researchers stay a few steps ahead of us. Never look back! You do what you do because you use the best information you have available at the time. (Even with limited choices, we still choose whether to gamble or not to do anything)

        I’ve chosen Yervoy as my next gamble. (It was my first choice years ago, but I was ineligible for it, and every other trial that interested me, for various reasons) So several stepping stones later, I end up where I wanted to be originally. A few months here, and a few months there have added up to over 3 years (a veritable lifetime compared to some others) with my daughter… and still Yervoy has no guarantee of success. But I’ll finally be able to have a shot at it. Maybe it’ll work. Maybe it won’t. But it’s the best decision I can make for the moment, and I’m going with it- and I won’t look back. A seer, I’m not. A risk:benefit analyser I am.

        Nic 😀

        Lisa13
        Participant

        Hi Nic,

        I guess what I meant by "lucky" is that this new BRAF drug works fast.  When I would research clinical trials, one would sound appealing until it stated "BRAF positive". That's when I get discouraged because it's 1 less option I have in my arsenol.

        I agree with you completely – you just have keep hopping from stepping stone to stepping stone and hope it buys you time.  "Lucky" for you, you're stil part of the excitement 3 years later :). Reading everything you have gone through, this is an amazing thing even though I'm sure it came with a ton of emotions!  You just never know when you might come across the drug that keeps it at bay for a long time and I hope this comes true for you.

        Lisa

        Lisa13
        Participant

        Hi Nic,

        I guess what I meant by "lucky" is that this new BRAF drug works fast.  When I would research clinical trials, one would sound appealing until it stated "BRAF positive". That's when I get discouraged because it's 1 less option I have in my arsenol.

        I agree with you completely – you just have keep hopping from stepping stone to stepping stone and hope it buys you time.  "Lucky" for you, you're stil part of the excitement 3 years later :). Reading everything you have gone through, this is an amazing thing even though I'm sure it came with a ton of emotions!  You just never know when you might come across the drug that keeps it at bay for a long time and I hope this comes true for you.

        Lisa

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Found the article extract (cannot get the whole article) and also found a definition of terms :

        http://cancerguide.org/endpoints.html

        Objective Response (OR): Objective response means either a partial or complete response (In the literature you'll frequently see "CR+PR" which means the same thing). When you see an objective response rate be sure to look at how many are complete responses and how many are partial since benefits from complete response tend to be greater. Often news reports and especially press releases by self-interested companies blur this and don't reveal that the CR rate is low or non-existent. Track down the original source and find out!

        **********************************************8

         

        This article for one study seems to give an even lower response rate than il-2, not a higher one. 

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Found the article extract (cannot get the whole article) and also found a definition of terms :

        http://cancerguide.org/endpoints.html

        Objective Response (OR): Objective response means either a partial or complete response (In the literature you'll frequently see "CR+PR" which means the same thing). When you see an objective response rate be sure to look at how many are complete responses and how many are partial since benefits from complete response tend to be greater. Often news reports and especially press releases by self-interested companies blur this and don't reveal that the CR rate is low or non-existent. Track down the original source and find out!

        **********************************************8

         

        This article for one study seems to give an even lower response rate than il-2, not a higher one. 

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Linda, Would like a copy of the full article if possible.  Thanks, Jerry

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Linda, Would like a copy of the full article if possible.  Thanks, Jerry

        lhaley
        Participant

        I'll try this link. If it doesn't work I'll scan it in and send it to your e-mail.

         http://safefromthesun.org/pictures/1079.full.pdf
         

        Linda

        lhaley
        Participant

        I'll try this link. If it doesn't work I'll scan it in and send it to your e-mail.

         http://safefromthesun.org/pictures/1079.full.pdf
         

        Linda

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Got it  .  reading it now.

        Thanks

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        Got it  .  reading it now.

        Thanks

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        The PD-1 line is one that seems to be a possibility for helping enhance the c-kit attack.  I've been watching that developemnt to. 

         

        Finding Winning Combinations
        Although the FDA approved ipilimumab as single-drug therapy for melanoma, “the name of the game now is going to be combination therapies,” said Suzanne Topalian, M.D. , of
        Johns Hopkins. A trial of ipilimumab with an experimental anti – PD-1 antibody ( see story) is just the first of many.
        The potential combinations are dizzying. Besides combining two immune checkpoint
        inhibitors, each could be used together with a costimulation activator. Other options
        include cancer vaccines, adoptive cellular immunotherapies, or kinase inhibitors. Even chemotherapy makes sense as a way to unmask tumor antigens to a boosted immune system. “There aren ’ t enough people or days or patients to test all the very interesting things that can be done,” said oncologist Mario Sznol, M.D., of Yale University at a recent grand rounds talk at Yale. “One of the things that we need to do is fi gure out what are the critical nonredundant pathways and target those, so we don ’ t waste a lot of time inhibiting two targets that are in the same pathway.”
        Predicting which patients are likely to respond to immunotherapy is another crucial
        task that has barely begun. For example, no one knows why some patients respond dramatically to ipilimumab or anti – PD-1 antibodies, whereas most patients have no objective tumor responses at all. Efforts to identify predictive markers are under way, but the task is daunting. In a phone interview, Sznol said that an immunotherapy biomarker “probably depends on things that the tumor does, things that the infi ltrating cells do, things about your prior immune system, maybe even some genetic component . . . [and on] where you are in the stage of the disease. It ’ s very complex. So I would imagine that we’ll never find one single thing that ’ s going to be 100% predictive.”

        JerryfromFauq
        Participant

        The PD-1 line is one that seems to be a possibility for helping enhance the c-kit attack.  I've been watching that developemnt to. 

         

        Finding Winning Combinations
        Although the FDA approved ipilimumab as single-drug therapy for melanoma, “the name of the game now is going to be combination therapies,” said Suzanne Topalian, M.D. , of
        Johns Hopkins. A trial of ipilimumab with an experimental anti – PD-1 antibody ( see story) is just the first of many.
        The potential combinations are dizzying. Besides combining two immune checkpoint
        inhibitors, each could be used together with a costimulation activator. Other options
        include cancer vaccines, adoptive cellular immunotherapies, or kinase inhibitors. Even chemotherapy makes sense as a way to unmask tumor antigens to a boosted immune system. “There aren ’ t enough people or days or patients to test all the very interesting things that can be done,” said oncologist Mario Sznol, M.D., of Yale University at a recent grand rounds talk at Yale. “One of the things that we need to do is fi gure out what are the critical nonredundant pathways and target those, so we don ’ t waste a lot of time inhibiting two targets that are in the same pathway.”
        Predicting which patients are likely to respond to immunotherapy is another crucial
        task that has barely begun. For example, no one knows why some patients respond dramatically to ipilimumab or anti – PD-1 antibodies, whereas most patients have no objective tumor responses at all. Efforts to identify predictive markers are under way, but the task is daunting. In a phone interview, Sznol said that an immunotherapy biomarker “probably depends on things that the tumor does, things that the infi ltrating cells do, things about your prior immune system, maybe even some genetic component . . . [and on] where you are in the stage of the disease. It ’ s very complex. So I would imagine that we’ll never find one single thing that ’ s going to be 100% predictive.”

      Charlie S
      Participant

      You are fine.  You made the best decision based upon the information available to you at the time; and yes, things change..

      As you are now seeing, the numbers do not always tell the whole and true story.  But you made your best choice based upon your own chances and it is quite okay to question the numbers……………………but do NOT question your decision.

      Adjust, modify or change your direction according to new information,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,but do NOT, in any way, beat yourself up about making some wrong decision.  You decided what was right for you at the time. and things change.

      That you question the facts that you used to make your decision is a good thing.  But please, question the facts,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,not yourself.

      Cheers,

      Charlie S

      Charlie S
      Participant

      You are fine.  You made the best decision based upon the information available to you at the time; and yes, things change..

      As you are now seeing, the numbers do not always tell the whole and true story.  But you made your best choice based upon your own chances and it is quite okay to question the numbers……………………but do NOT question your decision.

      Adjust, modify or change your direction according to new information,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,but do NOT, in any way, beat yourself up about making some wrong decision.  You decided what was right for you at the time. and things change.

      That you question the facts that you used to make your decision is a good thing.  But please, question the facts,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,not yourself.

      Cheers,

      Charlie S

      MariaH
      Participant

      Lisa,

      Please don't second guess yourself.  You made a good decision, as others have noted, and have to remember that you still have the option of IL-2.  I know your frustration – my husband is also B-RAF negative, as well as HLA negative.  Who knows?  Maybe they can identify another gene mutation that will help even more melanoma patients.

      This is a sucky disease – but stay positive and picture yourself kicking mels butt.   We are in the thick of this together – you're not the only one questioning "what if".

      All the best,

      Maria

      MariaH
      Participant

      Lisa,

      Please don't second guess yourself.  You made a good decision, as others have noted, and have to remember that you still have the option of IL-2.  I know your frustration – my husband is also B-RAF negative, as well as HLA negative.  Who knows?  Maybe they can identify another gene mutation that will help even more melanoma patients.

      This is a sucky disease – but stay positive and picture yourself kicking mels butt.   We are in the thick of this together – you're not the only one questioning "what if".

      All the best,

      Maria

      Dynasysman
      Participant

      Lisa —

      I know where you're at.  There are so many option (none of which are great) and so much data that sometimes I want to pull the covers up over my head and shriek (and I run a marketing research firm!)

      All these good people are right.  You made the best decision for you based on what you knew and felt the day you made it.  Looking back doesn't help.  Just go forward one day at a time and kick the crap out of this disease.

      Dynasysman
      Participant

      Lisa —

      I know where you're at.  There are so many option (none of which are great) and so much data that sometimes I want to pull the covers up over my head and shriek (and I run a marketing research firm!)

      All these good people are right.  You made the best decision for you based on what you knew and felt the day you made it.  Looking back doesn't help.  Just go forward one day at a time and kick the crap out of this disease.

Viewing 9 reply threads
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.
About the MRF Patient Forum

The MRF Patient Forum is the oldest and largest online community of people affected by melanoma. It is designed to provide peer support and information to caregivers, patients, family and friends. There is no better place to discuss different parts of your journey with this cancer and find the friends and support resources to make that journey more bearable.

The information on the forum is open and accessible to everyone. To add a new topic or to post a reply, you must be a registered user. Please note that you will be able to post both topics and replies anonymously even though you are logged in. All posts must abide by MRF posting policies.

Popular Topics